Mon, Mar 23 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.25)
0.29 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.4% | 48.5% | 15.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
41.1%
1 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| San Marcos de Arica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union San Felipe | 0 | 41.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.6% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 30% | 20% |
| Defense | 20% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Union San Felipe: LDWL • San Marcos de Arica: DDDD
League goals
| Metric | Union San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union San Felipe | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Union San Felipe or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Union San Felipe = 0.60 (league 1.25), San Marcos de Arica = 0.29 (league 0.86)
| San Marcos de Arica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union San Felipe | 0 | 41.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.6% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 48.5% · Away win 15.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1