Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 09:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.32) 0.61 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 32.6% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Volgar Astrakhan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novosibirsk 0 18.3% 11.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 12.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 6.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack55%36%
Defense36%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novosibirsk Volgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%22%39%56%44%50%
Draws11%22%17%44%11%28%
Loses33%56%44%0%44%22%

Form: Novosibirsk: DLLWDWWWWLWLLLWLLD • Volgar Astrakhan: DLWLDLWWDWWWWWLDDW

League goals

Metric Novosibirsk Volgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
GF total16102611718
GF avg1.81.11.41.20.81.0
GA total711184711
GA avg0.81.21.00.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%67%50%
1.533%22%28%11%
2.522%0%6%0%
3.522%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
Clean sheets314639
Failed to score336246

Penalties

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
Wins45
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-1—2-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
Form33%67%
Att60%40%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h9%91%
Goals20%80%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Volgar Astrakhan and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Marathonbet
Away3.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novosibirsk = 1.09 (league 1.32), Volgar Astrakhan = 0.61 (league 1.05)

Volgar Astrakhan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novosibirsk 0 18.3% 11.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 12.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 6.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1