Primera B — Colombia
Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.23) 1.80 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 22.0% 64.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 2
14.2%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 8.8% 15.8% 14.2% 8.5% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.6% 10.0% 9.0% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9%
2 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack57%64%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Envigado
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins50%83%67%33%80%55%
Draws33%0%17%33%0%18%
Loses17%17%17%33%20%27%

Form: Union Magdalena: DWLWWWWDWLWW • Envigado: WWDLLWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Envigado
HATHAT
GF total8122061016
GF avg1.32.01.71.02.01.5
GA total5510538
GA avg0.80.80.80.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%91%45%
1.558%17%36%27%
2.525%0%18%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Wins43
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-22-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Union Magdalena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away3.55 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 0.63 (league 1.23), Envigado = 1.80 (league 0.89)

Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 8.8% 15.8% 14.2% 8.5% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.6% 10.0% 9.0% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9%
2 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 64.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1