Primera B — Colombia
Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.23) 0.05 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 43.9% 2.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
42.2%
1 - 0
34.3%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Popayan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 42.2% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaPopayan
Played23
Form67%11%
Attack9%9%
Defense100%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

29%
FT probability

2.5+

21%
FT probability

3.5+

15%
FT probability

BTTS

32%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Popayan
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins0%100%50%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%67%

Form: Union Magdalena: DW • Popayan: LLD

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Popayan
HATHAT
GF total011101
GF avg0.01.00.50.50.00.3
GA total000224
GA avg0.00.00.01.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaPopayan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%0%33%100%
1.50%0%0%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaPopayan
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaPopayan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaPopayan
Wins00
Draws10
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses——0-12-0
Goals For0110
Goals Against0012

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaPopayan
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals100%0%
Total74.3%25.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Union Magdalena or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away8.25 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 0.81 (league 1.23), Popayan = 0.05 (league 0.88)

Popayan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 42.2% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 43.9% · Away win 2.2%

vtt 3 , vtd1