Primera B — Colombia
Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.23) 0.69 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 39.4% 31.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.3%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 26.3% 18.0% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 11.7% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaTigres FC
Played45
Form58%33%
Attack27%20%
Defense80%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

30%
FT probability

2.5+

21%
FT probability

3.5+

15%
FT probability

BTTS

27%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Tigres FC
HATHAT
Played224325
Wins0%100%50%33%0%20%
Draws50%0%25%0%100%40%
Loses50%0%25%67%0%40%

Form: Union Magdalena: DWLW • Tigres FC: DWLDL

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Tigres FC
HATHAT
GF total044303
GF avg0.02.01.01.00.00.6
GA total213404
GA avg1.00.50.81.30.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaTigres FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%40%40%
1.525%25%20%20%
2.525%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaTigres FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaTigres FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaTigres FC
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-0—
Biggest losses0-2—1-3—
Goals For0320
Goals Against2130

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaTigres FC
Form58%42%
Att57%43%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tigres FC and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.17 @ Pinnacle
Away8.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Marathonbet
No1.59 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 0.65 (league 1.23), Tigres FC = 0.69 (league 0.88)

Tigres FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 26.3% 18.0% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 11.7% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 31.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1