Primera B — Colombia
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 19:00 • Estadio Centenario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.21) 0.69 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 41.3% 34.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.4%
0 - 1
20.2%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Union Magdalena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Quindio 0 29.4% 20.2% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.7% 10.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQuindioUnion Magdalena
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack67%58%
Defense83%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Quindio Union Magdalena
HATHAT
Played336325
Wins67%100%83%33%100%60%
Draws33%0%17%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Quindio: WWWDWW • Union Magdalena: DWLWW

League goals

Metric Quindio Union Magdalena
HATHAT
GF total459347
GF avg1.31.71.51.02.01.4
GA total022314
GA avg0.00.70.31.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQuindioUnion Magdalena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%33%60%60%
1.550%0%40%20%
2.517%0%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQuindioUnion Magdalena
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricQuindioUnion Magdalena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricQuindioUnion Magdalena
Wins31
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-11-3
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For3233
Goals Against0121

Model comparison

MetricQuindioUnion Magdalena
Form57%43%
Att53%47%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Quindio or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 10Bet
Draw2.88 @ 10Bet
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Quindio = 0.54 (league 1.21), Union Magdalena = 0.69 (league 0.87)

Union Magdalena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Quindio 0 29.4% 20.2% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.7% 10.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 41.3% · Away win 34.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1