Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha

Primera B — Colombia

Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 22:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada

Match Finished

Union Magdalena

1 - 1

Real Soacha

Expected Goals

1.06 (league 1.23) 0.57 (league 0.88)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
46.8%	33.4%	19.7%

best score tips

1 - 0

20.7%

0 - 0

19.6%

1 - 1

11.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Real Soacha
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Union Magdalena	0	19.6%	11.2%	3.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.7%	11.9%	3.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	11.0%	6.3%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	3.9%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Union Magdalena	Real Soacha
Played	5	5
Form	80%	47%
Attack	69%	38%
Defense	63%	69%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%

FT probability

2.5+

42%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

61%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Union Magdalena			Real Soacha
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	4	7	4	4	8
Wins	33%	100%	71%	50%	0%	25%
Draws	33%	0%	14%	25%	25%	25%
Loses	33%	0%	14%	25%	75%	50%

Form: Union Magdalena: DWLWWWW • Real Soacha: LLDWLWLD

League goals

Metric	Union Magdalena			Real Soacha
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	9	12	5	2	7
GF avg	1.0	2.3	1.7	1.3	0.5	0.9
GA total	3	3	6	4	5	9
GA avg	1.0	0.8	0.9	1.0	1.3	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Union Magdalena		Real Soacha
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	71%	63%	75%
1.5	57%	14%	25%	38%
2.5	43%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Union Magdalena			Real Soacha
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	2	0	2
Failed to score	2	0	2	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	Union Magdalena	Real Soacha
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Union Magdalena	Real Soacha
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	1-3	2-0	—
Biggest losses	0-2	—	0-2	2-1
Goals For	3	3	2	1
Goals Against	2	1	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Union Magdalena	Real Soacha
Form	63%	37%
Att	65%	35%
Def	45%	55%
Poisson Distribution	72%	28%
H2h	75%	25%
Goals	71%	29%
Total	65.2%	34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Union Magdalena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle

Away6.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Pinnacle

No1.60 @ Pinnacle

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Pinnacle Updated: 2026-03-11T20:00:09+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.54
Draw	3.78
Away	6.10

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.18
Away	4.71

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.31
Away -1.25	1.60
Home -1	1.98
Away -1	1.84
Home -0.75	1.69
Away -0.75	2.15
Home -0.5	1.52
Away -0.5	2.45
Home -0.25	1.35
Away -0.25	3.08
Home +0	1.19
Away +0	4.40
Home +0.25	1.23
Away +0.25	3.96
Home -1.75	3.23
Away -1.75	1.32
Home -1.5	2.62
Away -1.5	1.46

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.40
Under 1.5	2.82
Over 1.75	1.50
Under 1.75	2.48
Over 2.0	1.68
Under 2.0	2.15
Over 2.25	1.98
Under 2.25	1.83
Over 2.5	2.25
Under 2.5	1.62
Over 2.75	2.62
Under 2.75	1.45
Over 1.25	1.28
Under 1.25	3.47
Over 3.0	3.36
Under 3.0	1.29

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.75	1.66
Under 0.75	2.10
Over 1.0	2.09
Under 1.0	1.67

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.30
No	1.60

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.18
2:0	5.91
2:1	8.25
3:0	9.84
3:1	12.58
3:2	28.28
4:0	21.00
4:1	24.87
0:0	8.06
1:1	7.30
2:2	19.11
0:1	11.32
0:2	26.80
0:3	43.00
1:2	17.24
1:3	49.84
2:3	50.00
3:3	63.22
4:2	49.51
5:0	42.68
5:1	50.90

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.13
Home/Away	1.27
Draw/Away	2.40

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.87
Under 1.5	1.90

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.92
Under 0.5	1.85

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.5	2.06
Away -0.5	1.68
Home -0.25	1.67
Away -0.25	2.08

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.90
Even	1.87

Bet ID 38 — Exact Goals Number

Selection	Odds
0	7.98
1	3.90
2	3.37
3	4.23
4	6.69
5	12.24
more 6	19.22

Bet ID 45 — Corners Over Under

Selection	Odds
Over 8.5	1.88
Under 8.5	1.84

Bet ID 49 — Total Goals/Both Teams To Score

Selection	Odds
o/yes 2.5	3.06
o/no 2.5	6.73
u/yes 2.5	7.30
u/no 2.5	1.97

Bet ID 56 — Corners Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -2	1.83
Away -2	1.89

Bet ID 77 — Total Corners (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 4	1.88
Under 4	1.76

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 1.06 (league 1.23), Real Soacha = 0.57 (league 0.88)

		Real Soacha
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Union Magdalena	0	19.6%	11.2%	3.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.7%	11.9%	3.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	11.0%	6.3%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	3.9%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 19.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Union Magdalena	Real Soacha
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1