Primera B — Colombia
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 21:05 • Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.23) 0.45 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.5% 55.4% 30.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.7%
0 - 1
22.6%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Real Cartagena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 49.7% 22.6% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.2% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEnvigadoReal Cartagena
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack88%100%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Envigado Real Cartagena
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins50%75%63%60%50%56%
Draws25%0%13%20%50%33%
Loses25%25%25%20%0%11%

Form: Envigado: WWDLLWWW • Real Cartagena: WWDWWLDWD

League goals

Metric Envigado Real Cartagena
HATHAT
GF total471113316
GF avg1.01.81.42.60.81.8
GA total224617
GA avg0.50.50.51.20.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEnvigadoReal Cartagena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%25%89%44%
1.538%25%44%22%
2.513%0%22%11%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEnvigadoReal Cartagena
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricEnvigadoReal Cartagena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricEnvigadoReal Cartagena
Wins22
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-12-3—
Goals For2341
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricEnvigadoReal Cartagena
Form53%47%
Att37%63%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Envigado or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Envigado = 0.24 (league 1.23), Real Cartagena = 0.45 (league 0.88)

Real Cartagena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 49.7% 22.6% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.2% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 55.4% · Away win 30.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1