Primera B — Colombia
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.23) 0.69 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.3% 31.4% 22.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Patriotas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 16.2% 11.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaPatriotas
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack100%38%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Patriotas
HATHAT
Played448459
Wins25%100%63%50%0%22%
Draws50%0%25%25%60%44%
Loses25%0%13%25%40%33%

Form: Union Magdalena: DWLWWWWD • Patriotas: LWLDLDWDD

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Patriotas
HATHAT
GF total4913336
GF avg1.02.31.60.80.60.7
GA total437178
GA avg1.00.80.90.31.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaPatriotas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%56%56%
1.550%13%11%22%
2.538%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaPatriotas
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaPatriotas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaPatriotas
Wins41
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-0—
Biggest losses0-2—0-13-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaPatriotas
Form68%32%
Att80%20%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h36%64%
Goals55%45%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Union Magdalena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.12 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 1.14 (league 1.23), Patriotas = 0.69 (league 0.88)

Patriotas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 16.2% 11.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 22.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1