Primera B — Colombia
Thu, Mar 26 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.23) 0.34 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.4% 25.8% 8.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
2 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Real Santander
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 16.4% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 8.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaReal Santander
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack64%21%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Real Santander
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%80%60%17%0%10%
Draws40%0%20%50%25%40%
Loses20%20%20%33%75%50%

Form: Union Magdalena: DWLWWWWDWL • Real Santander: LLDWDLLDLD

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Real Santander
HATHAT
GF total61016617
GF avg1.22.01.61.00.30.7
GA total55107613
GA avg1.01.01.01.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaReal Santander
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%100%
1.550%20%10%30%
2.530%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaReal Santander
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score202134

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaReal Santander
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaReal Santander
Wins41
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-1—
Biggest losses0-22-11-22-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaReal Santander
Form83%17%
Att75%25%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h80%20%
Goals78%22%
Total76.2%23.8%

Advice: Double chance : Union Magdalena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.59 @ Pinnacle
Away8.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 1.46 (league 1.23), Real Santander = 0.34 (league 0.88)

Real Santander
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 16.4% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 8.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.4% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 8.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1