Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 21:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.87 (league 1.55)
1.52 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.7%
4 - 1
6.5%
2 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Progresso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baré | 0 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Baré | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 60% | 40% |
| Defense | 80% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Baré | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 75% | 50% | 67% |
BaréLWWWLW
ProgressoLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Baré | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Baré | Progresso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Baré | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Baré | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Baré | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-7 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Baré | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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