Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
4.43 (league 1.35)
1.01 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
best score tips
4 - 1
7.0%
4 - 0
7.0%
3 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Independiente Res. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estudiantes La Plata Res | 0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estudiantes La Plata Res | Independiente Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 75% |
| Attack | 29% | 79% |
| Defense | 86% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 11 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estudiantes La Plata Res | Independiente Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Estudiantes La Plata ResDDWL
Independiente Res.LWWW
League goals
| Metric | Estudiantes La Plata Res | Independiente Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estudiantes La Plata Res | Independiente Res. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estudiantes La Plata Res | Independiente Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estudiantes La Plata Res | Independiente Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estudiantes La Plata Res | Independiente Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estudiantes La Plata Res | Independiente Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.10 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
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League standings
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