Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.18 (league 1.35)
1.01 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 36.3% | 57.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
30.8%
0 - 0
30.6%
0 - 2
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Quilmes 2 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 0 | 30.6% | 30.8% | 15.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Quilmes 2 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 52 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 -2.9, Quilmes 2 +31.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
vs
Quilmes 2
Elo gapQuilmes 2 +52
Home / draw / away33% / 24% / 43%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo3011.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3011.1
Elo home share
43%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1462 | 1549.1 |
| Form Elo | 1447.5 | 1571.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1487.9 | 1517.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1448.7 | 1476.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1476.1 | 1578.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.9 | +31.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 last-5 Elo change: -2.9; Quilmes 2 last-5 Elo change: +31.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 42% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 10% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 80% | 20% | 50% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2LDLDLDWLDD
Quilmes 2WDWLWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 70% | 70% | 30% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 30% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Quilmes 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 14% | 86% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 27.0% | 73.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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