Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio 25 de Noviembre
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.48)
3.15 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8% | 14.0% | 63.0% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.8%
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 4
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Garcilaso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UCV Moquegua | 0 | 1.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 0% | 56% |
| Attack | 11% | 17% |
| Defense | 56% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
UCV MoqueguaLLL
Deportivo GarcilasoDDW
League goals
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UCV Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 29.0% | 71.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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