Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 20:30 • Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.47) 1.05 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 30.2% 35.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 12.6% 13.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Atletico
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack64%18%
Defense36%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Cristal Alianza Atletico
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%0%20%
Draws50%33%40%67%50%60%
Loses50%33%40%0%50%20%
Sporting CristalDLWDL
Alianza AtleticoWLDDD

League goals

Metric Sporting Cristal Alianza Atletico
HATHAT
GF total347112
GF avg1.51.31.40.30.50.4
GA total437022
GA avg2.01.01.40.01.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CristalAlianza Atletico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%40%40%
1.540%60%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Atletico
HATHAT
Clean sheets011303
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Atletico
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Atletico
Wins11
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-21-0—
Biggest losses1-22-1—1-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against2201

Model comparison

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Atletico
Form45%55%
Att78%22%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total50.8%49.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away5.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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