Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 18:15 •
Estadio de la UNSA
Expected Goals
3.11 (league 1.48)
0.22 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.8% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
17.3%
4 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Grau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FBC Melgar | 0 | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.9% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 53% | 18% |
| Defense | 47% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
FBC MelgarWWWLLL
Atletico GrauLDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 50% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 69.7% | 30.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ 188Bet
Draw5.10 @ Betano
Away11.50 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.39 @ Pinnacle
No1.61 @ Unibet
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League standings
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