ADT vs Alianza Lima

Primera División — Peru

Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 20:15 • Estadio Union Tarma

Match Finished

ADT

0 - 1

Alianza Lima

Expected Goals

0.62 (league 1.46) 1.26 (league 0.95)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
18.2%	29.7%	51.8%

best score tips

0 - 1

19.3%

0 - 0

15.3%

0 - 2

12.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Alianza Lima
		0	1	2	3	4	5
ADT	0	15.3%	19.3%	12.1%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%
	1	9.5%	11.9%	7.5%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%
	2	2.9%	3.7%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	ADT	Alianza Lima
Played	5	5
Form	33%	67%
Attack	55%	64%
Defense	36%	73%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%

FT probability

2.5+

43%

FT probability

3.5+

31%

FT probability

BTTS

65%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	ADT			Alianza Lima
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	4	5	9	4	5	9
Wins	25%	20%	22%	100%	40%	67%
Draws	50%	20%	33%	0%	40%	22%
Loses	25%	60%	44%	0%	20%	11%

ADTLWLDDLWDL

Alianza LimaWWDWWWDWL

League goals

Metric	ADT			Alianza Lima
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	3	9	8	4	12
GF avg	1.5	0.6	1.0	2.0	0.8	1.3
GA total	6	6	12	2	3	5
GA avg	1.5	1.2	1.3	0.5	0.6	0.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	ADT		Alianza Lima
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	67%	78%	56%
1.5	33%	44%	44%	0%
2.5	0%	22%	11%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	ADT			Alianza Lima
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	2	3	2	2	4
Failed to score	0	3	3	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	ADT	Alianza Lima
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	ADT	Alianza Lima
Wins	1	3
Draws	2	1
Losses	1	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	0-1	3-1	1-2
Biggest losses	2-3	2-0	—	1-0
Goals For	2	2	3	2
Goals Against	3	3	1	1

Model comparison

Metric	ADT	Alianza Lima
Form	33%	67%
Att	46%	54%
Def	30%	70%
Poisson Distribution	32%	68%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	45.0%	55.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.46 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.10 @ BetVictor

Away2.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill

No1.90 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • ADT vs Alianza Lima

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

ADT

Alianza Lima

Primera División • Peru • Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 20:15 • Estadio Union Tarma

Expected goals

0.62

ADT xG League Avg: 1.46

Total

1.88

1.26

Alianza Lima xG League Avg: 0.95

1x2 probabilities

Home

18.2%

Draw

29.7%

Away

51.8%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 1

19.3%

Tip

0 - 0

15.3%

Tip

0 - 2

12.1%

More chances

1.5+

61%

Chance

2.5+

43%

Chance

3.5+

31%

Chance

BTTS

65%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Adt #AlianzaLima #PrimeraDivisión #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): ADT = 0.62 (league 1.46), Alianza Lima = 1.26 (league 0.95)

		Alianza Lima
		0	1	2	3	4	5
ADT	0	15.3%	19.3%	12.1%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%
	1	9.5%	11.9%	7.5%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%
	2	2.9%	3.7%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 51.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	ADT	Alianza Lima
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2