Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 20:15 •
Estadio Union Tarma
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.48)
1.27 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.8% | 29.6% | 52.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.4%
0 - 0
15.3%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Alianza Lima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ADT | 0 | 15.3% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ADT | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ADT | Alianza Lima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 22% | 100% | 40% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 60% | 44% | 0% | 20% | 11% |
ADTLWLDDLWDL
Alianza LimaWWDWWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | ADT | Alianza Lima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ADT | Alianza Lima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 78% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 44% | 44% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 22% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ADT | Alianza Lima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | ADT | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | ADT | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ADT | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ BetVictor
Away2.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.90 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…