Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 20:30 •
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.48)
1.04 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.4% | 24.8% | 24.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting Cristal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Comerciantes Unidos | 0 | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 62% | 77% |
| Defense | 54% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 36% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 36% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 17% | 40% | 27% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
Comerciantes UnidosWLDLWLWDDDW
Sporting CristalDLWDLWWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 73% | 100% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 45% | 55% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 27% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 3-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.33 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away3.25 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.84 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…