First League — Russia
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 10:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.23) 0.68 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 41.5% 33.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.7%
0 - 1
20.1%
1 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Sokol Saratov 0 29.7% 20.1% 6.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.9% 10.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK Sokol SaratovChelyabinsk
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack17%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Sokol Saratov Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
Played111021101121
Wins18%0%10%60%18%38%
Draws55%40%48%40%36%38%
Loses27%60%43%0%45%24%

Form: FK Sokol Saratov: DDLDDLLLLDWLDDDWLDLDL • Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWDWDDDDLLWDWL

League goals

Metric FK Sokol Saratov Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
GF total731018927
GF avg0.60.30.51.80.81.3
GA total10122281220
GA avg0.91.21.00.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK Sokol SaratovChelyabinsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%67%71%62%
1.55%33%33%29%
2.50%5%19%5%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK Sokol SaratovChelyabinsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score5712156

Penalties

MetricFK Sokol SaratovChelyabinsk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFK Sokol SaratovChelyabinsk
Wins12
Draws34
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-1—2-0
Goals For2143
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricFK Sokol SaratovChelyabinsk
Form22%78%
Att13%88%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total37.5%62.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chelyabinsk and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.92 @ 188Bet
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FK Sokol Saratov = 0.54 (league 1.23), Chelyabinsk = 0.68 (league 1.06)

Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Sokol Saratov 0 29.7% 20.1% 6.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.9% 10.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 33.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1