First League — Russia
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 08:00 • Tsentralnyi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.22) 0.77 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 36.6% 32.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.2%
0 - 1
17.1%
1 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
Volga Ulyanovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Enisey 0 22.2% 17.1% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 12.6% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEniseyVolga Ulyanovsk
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack25%88%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Enisey Volga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins27%20%24%36%20%29%
Draws36%40%38%18%20%19%
Loses36%40%38%45%60%52%

Form: Enisey: LLDLDWWDLLDLDWWLLWDDD • Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLWLDLLWLLWLWD

League goals

Metric Enisey Volga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
GF total5914141024
GF avg0.50.90.71.31.01.1
GA total91625161834
GA avg0.81.61.21.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEniseyVolga Ulyanovsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%76%81%
1.514%38%29%52%
2.55%14%10%14%
3.55%5%0%14%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEniseyVolga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets639404
Failed to score6612145

Penalties

MetricEniseyVolga Ulyanovsk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricEniseyVolga Ulyanovsk
Wins21
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-42-02-3
Biggest losses0-35-01-44-0
Goals For1423
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricEniseyVolga Ulyanovsk
Form46%54%
Att22%78%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Volga Ulyanovsk and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Enisey = 0.74 (league 1.22), Volga Ulyanovsk = 0.77 (league 1.04)

Volga Ulyanovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Enisey 0 22.2% 17.1% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 12.6% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 36.6% · Away win 32.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1