First League — Russia
Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 16:30 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.22) 0.24 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.4% 29.5% 7.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.1%
0 - 0
22.2%
2 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 22.2% 5.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.1% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodina MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack42%50%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodina Moskva Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins45%40%43%45%10%29%
Draws45%40%43%27%50%38%
Loses9%20%14%27%40%33%

Form: Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDWDWDD • Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Rodina Moskva Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
GF total15132813518
GF avg1.41.31.31.20.50.9
GA total6101681119
GA avg0.51.00.80.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodina MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%48%52%57%
1.543%14%24%24%
2.510%10%5%10%
3.55%5%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodina MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411549
Failed to score2464610

Penalties

MetricRodina MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricRodina MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
Wins41
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-11-2
Biggest losses1-34-00-23-0
Goals For3542
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricRodina MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
Form56%44%
Att45%55%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h62%38%
Goals59%41%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rodina Moskva or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away5.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.48 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodina Moskva = 1.26 (league 1.22), Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.24 (league 1.04)

Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 22.2% 5.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.1% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 7.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1