Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.39)
0.58 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.6% | 43.0% | 28.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Panthère | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fortuna Mfou | 0 | 31.6% | 18.2% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Panthère carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Fortuna Mfou -46.3, Panthère +13.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Fortuna Mfou
vs
Panthère
Elo gapPanthère +57
Home / draw / away32% / 23% / 45%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo3057.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3057.9
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1482.8 | 1575.1 |
| Form Elo | 1462.8 | 1573.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1501.2 | 1515.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1476.1 | 1480.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1520.5 | 1621.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -46.3 | +13.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Fortuna Mfou last-5 Elo change: -46.3; Panthère last-5 Elo change: +13.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 67% |
| Attack | 9% | 64% |
| Defense | 45% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 21% | 63% | 17% | 43% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 21% | 0% | 50% | 21% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 57% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
Fortuna MfouLDLWDLLWWDLLLL
PanthèreWDWLLLWDLLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 16 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 57% | 57% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 36% | 36% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 29% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fortuna Mfou | Panthère |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 9% | 91% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 32% | 68% |
| Total | 29.2% | 71.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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