MLS Next Pro — USA
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 22:00 • Truist Point
Match Finished

Carolina Core

2 - 2

Crown Legacy

Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.52) 7.62 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.4% 2.1% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 5
2.9%
2 - 5
2.8%
1 - 4
1.9%
Score & goals probability table
Crown Legacy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carolina Core 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.9%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.8%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Crown Legacy carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 48 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Carolina Core -20.3, Crown Legacy +40.8.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Carolina Core Elo 1457.5 · -20.3
vs
Crown Legacy Elo 1540.1 · +40.8
Elo gapCrown Legacy +48
Home / draw / away32% / 25% / 43%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo2997.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2997.6
Elo home share 43%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Carolina Core Crown Legacy
Overall Elo1457.51540.1
Form Elo1435.71581.9
Home / Away Elo1474.71519.1
Attack Elo1469.11594.5
Defense Elo1446.21475.2
Last 5 Elo change-20.3+40.8

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Carolina Core last-5 Elo change: -20.3; Crown Legacy last-5 Elo change: +40.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarolina CoreCrown Legacy
Played55
Form0%100%
Attack32%68%
Defense32%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carolina Core Crown Legacy
HATHAT
Played246527
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%0%0%0%
Carolina CoreLLLLLL
Crown LegacyWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Carolina Core Crown Legacy
HATHAT
GF total34716824
GF avg1.51.01.23.24.03.4
GA total51015246
GA avg2.52.52.50.42.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarolina CoreCrown Legacy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%100%43%
1.533%83%86%29%
2.50%50%71%14%
3.50%17%43%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarolina CoreCrown Legacy
HATHAT
Clean sheets000404
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricCarolina CoreCrown Legacy
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCarolina CoreCrown Legacy
Wins07
Draws00
Losses60

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——7-21-4
Biggest losses2-34-1——
Goals For2274
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricCarolina CoreCrown Legacy
Form0%100%
Att32%68%
Def19%81%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h80%20%
Goals59%41%
Total41.8%58.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away1.95 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy