Ligue 1 — Algeria
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 14:00 • Stade Belhamiti Larbi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.28) 1.78 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 23.2% 47.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Paradou AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mostaganem 0 4.5% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.9% 10.6% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaganemParadou AC
Played55
Form7%0%
Attack22%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.416 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mostaganem Paradou AC
HATHAT
Played111223111021
Wins27%0%13%36%10%24%
Draws36%8%22%9%10%10%
Loses36%92%65%55%80%67%

Form: Mostaganem: LWDDLWLLLLLDLLLWLDLDLLL • Paradou AC: DLLLLLLLWWWWLWDLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Mostaganem Paradou AC
HATHAT
GF total9312121123
GF avg0.80.30.51.11.11.1
GA total141630142135
GA avg1.31.31.31.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaganemParadou AC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.535%78%67%76%
1.517%30%33%57%
2.50%13%10%19%
3.50%4%0%10%
4.50%4%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaganemParadou AC
HATHAT
Clean sheets415505
Failed to score51015347

Penalties

MetricMostaganemParadou AC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMostaganemParadou AC
Wins14
Draws21
Losses57

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-53-03-53-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against5354

Model comparison

MetricMostaganemParadou AC
Form100%0%
Att18%82%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total41.6%58.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paradou AC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 10Bet
Draw3.15 @ Pinnacle
Away3.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mostaganem = 1.31 (league 1.28), Paradou AC = 1.78 (league 0.80)

Paradou AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mostaganem 0 4.5% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.9% 10.6% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 47.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1