Ligue 1 — Algeria
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 21:00 • Stade du 5 Juillet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.27) 0.40 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 33.2% 13.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.5%
0 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
ES Setif
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 22.3% 8.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.5% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSM AlgerES Setif
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack23%38%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USM Alger ES Setif
HATHAT
Played9918111122
Wins22%33%28%45%9%27%
Draws67%56%61%45%27%36%
Loses11%11%11%9%64%36%

Form: USM Alger: DWDLDDWWDDWDWDDLDD • ES Setif: DDDWLLDLWDDWLLDWLDLWWL

League goals

Metric USM Alger ES Setif
HATHAT
GF total9101918422
GF avg1.01.11.11.60.41.0
GA total7714111526
GA avg0.80.80.81.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSM AlgerES Setif
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%61%64%77%
1.528%17%23%27%
2.56%0%9%14%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSM AlgerES Setif
HATHAT
Clean sheets437325
Failed to score235178

Penalties

MetricUSM AlgerES Setif
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricUSM AlgerES Setif
Wins22
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-10-1
Biggest losses1-21-01-33-0
Goals For2341
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricUSM AlgerES Setif
Form36%64%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total56.5%43.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : USM Alger or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away6.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USM Alger = 1.10 (league 1.27), ES Setif = 0.40 (league 0.80)

ES Setif
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 22.3% 8.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.5% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 13.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1