FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva

Meistriliiga — Estonia

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 • A. Le Coq Arena

Not Started

home	draw	away
79.1%	7.0%	2.2%

		Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn	0	2.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1	8.1%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
2	13.4%	5.4%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
3	14.7%	6.0%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
4	12.2%	4.9%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
5	8.0%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Home strong edge

FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 207 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FC Levadia Tallinn +29.6, Trans Narva -23.8.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone

FC Levadia Tallinn Elo 1659.3 · +29.6

Trans Narva Elo 1487.5 · -23.8

Elo gapFC Levadia Tallinn +207

Home / draw / away63% / 18% / 19%

Expected home share77%

Combined Elo3146.8

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home strong edge

Confidence band Strong confidence

Upset risk Low

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3146.8

Elo home share 77%

Match tone Heavy Favorite

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn	Trans Narva
Overall Elo	1659.3	1487.5
Form Elo	1685.3	1468.2
Home / Away Elo	1574.5	1504.6
Attack Elo	1793.2	1610.8
Defense Elo	1670.4	1497.6
Last 5 Elo change	+29.6	-23.8

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. FC Levadia Tallinn last-5 Elo change: +29.6; Trans Narva last-5 Elo change: -23.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn	Trans Narva
Played	5	5
Form	60%	40%
Attack	100%	89%
Defense	44%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%

FT probability

2.5+

63%

FT probability

3.5+

45%

FT probability

BTTS

80%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-6

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn			Trans Narva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	2	7	4	3	7
Wins	60%	50%	57%	50%	0%	29%
Draws	40%	50%	43%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	50%	100%	71%

FC Levadia TallinnWWDDWDW

Trans NarvaLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn			Trans Narva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	4	15	7	2	9
GF avg	2.2	2.0	2.1	1.8	0.7	1.3
GA total	4	2	6	5	8	13
GA avg	0.8	1.0	0.9	1.3	2.7	1.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	FC Levadia Tallinn		Trans Narva
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	71%	86%	86%
1.5	71%	14%	29%	57%
2.5	29%	0%	14%	14%
3.5	14%	0%	0%	14%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn			Trans Narva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	0	2	1	0	1
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	1	1

Penalties

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn	Trans Narva
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn	Trans Narva
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	0
Losses	0	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	1-3	3-0	—
Biggest losses	—	—	1-2	5-1
Goals For	4	3	3	1
Goals Against	2	1	2	5

Model comparison

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn	Trans Narva
Form	60%	40%
Att	56%	44%
Def	67%	33%
Poisson Distribution	87%	13%
H2h	93%	7%
Goals	83%	17%
Total	74.3%	25.7%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Unibet

Draw4.90 @ 1xBet

Away7.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Unibet

Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet

No1.98 @ Unibet

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva

Metric	FC Levadia Tallinn	Trans Narva
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva