Super League — Kenya
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.26) 0.73 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 41.8% 38.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.9%
0 - 1
22.5%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi City Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nzoia Sugar 0 30.9% 22.5% 8.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.8% 10.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNzoia SugarNairobi City Stars
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack33%33%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nzoia Sugar Nairobi City Stars
HATHAT
Played10112111920
Wins30%27%29%36%22%30%
Draws50%55%52%36%44%40%
Loses20%18%19%27%33%30%

Form: Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDDWDDWWLDLLW • Nairobi City Stars: LWWLLLDLWDWDWDDDDDLW

League goals

Metric Nzoia Sugar Nairobi City Stars
HATHAT
GF total7142112719
GF avg0.71.31.01.10.81.0
GA total781511718
GA avg0.70.70.71.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNzoia SugarNairobi City Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%48%65%65%
1.529%24%25%20%
2.510%0%5%5%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNzoia SugarNairobi City Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511437
Failed to score6410347

Penalties

MetricNzoia SugarNairobi City Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNzoia SugarNairobi City Stars
Wins22
Draws65
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-21-0
Goals For2432
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricNzoia SugarNairobi City Stars
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nzoia Sugar or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Bet365
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away4.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.61 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nzoia Sugar = 0.45 (league 1.26), Nairobi City Stars = 0.73 (league 0.77)

Nairobi City Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nzoia Sugar 0 30.9% 22.5% 8.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.8% 10.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 38.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1