Super League — Kenya
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.27) 0.65 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 29.0% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mwatate United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi City Stars 0 14.2% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 7.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi City StarsMwatate United
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack40%50%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi City Stars Mwatate United
HATHAT
Played111021111122
Wins36%20%29%27%9%18%
Draws36%50%43%27%27%27%
Loses27%30%29%45%64%55%

Form: Nairobi City Stars: LWWLLLDLWDWDWDDDDDLWD • Mwatate United: LDLLDDWDLLLLLLLWWLDDLW

League goals

Metric Nairobi City Stars Mwatate United
HATHAT
GF total1271913518
GF avg1.10.70.91.20.50.8
GA total11718211637
GA avg1.00.70.91.91.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi City StarsMwatate United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%50%86%
1.524%19%27%55%
2.55%5%5%23%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi City StarsMwatate United
HATHAT
Clean sheets448123
Failed to score3584711

Penalties

MetricNairobi City StarsMwatate United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNairobi City StarsMwatate United
Wins22
Draws52
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-21-00-43-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricNairobi City StarsMwatate United
Form55%45%
Att44%56%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nairobi City Stars or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away6.01 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 1xBet
No1.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi City Stars = 1.30 (league 1.27), Mwatate United = 0.65 (league 0.77)

Mwatate United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi City Stars 0 14.2% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 7.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 18.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1