Super League — Kenya
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.26) 0.82 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 36.0% 34.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
17.5%
1 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi City Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naivas 0 21.3% 17.5% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 12.7% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaivasNairobi City Stars
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack100%80%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naivas Nairobi City Stars
HATHAT
Played111223121022
Wins45%25%35%42%20%32%
Draws27%33%30%33%50%41%
Loses27%42%35%25%30%27%

Form: Naivas: WWDWLDWDDLLLLLWWLDDDWWL • Nairobi City Stars: LWWLLLDLWDWDWDDDDDLWDW

League goals

Metric Naivas Nairobi City Stars
HATHAT
GF total1451913720
GF avg1.30.40.81.10.70.9
GA total1081811718
GA avg0.90.70.80.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaivasNairobi City Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%61%64%59%
1.522%9%23%18%
2.59%4%5%5%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaivasNairobi City Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets459549
Failed to score3811358

Penalties

MetricNaivasNairobi City Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNaivasNairobi City Stars
Wins22
Draws35
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses2-42-00-21-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against4232

Model comparison

MetricNaivasNairobi City Stars
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total53.6%46.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Naivas or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ 1xBet
Draw2.90 @ 1xBet
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 1xBet
No1.52 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naivas = 0.72 (league 1.26), Nairobi City Stars = 0.82 (league 0.77)

Nairobi City Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naivas 0 21.3% 17.5% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 12.7% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 34.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1