Super League
— Kenya
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.25)
0.63 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 41.8% | 30.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.9%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Equity Bank | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 29.9% | 18.9% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Equity Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 83% | 83% |
| Defense | 50% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Equity Bank | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| Wins | 27% | 33% | 30% | 75% | 11% | 48% |
| Draws | 55% | 50% | 52% | 8% | 56% | 29% |
| Loses | 18% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 24% |
Form: Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDDWDDWWLDLLWDW • Equity Bank: WLDWWDLWDWLWWLDWDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Equity Bank | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nzoia Sugar | Equity Bank | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 43% | 76% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 22% | 43% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 0% | 19% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Equity Bank | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Equity Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Equity Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Equity Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Equity Bank and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nzoia Sugar = 0.58 (league 1.25), Equity Bank = 0.63 (league 0.76)
| Equity Bank | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 29.9% | 18.9% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 30.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1