Super League
— Kenya
Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.26)
0.36 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.7% | 44.8% | 17.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
35.6%
1 - 0
23.8%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Mwatate United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 35.6% | 13.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mwatate United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 75% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mwatate United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 8% | 17% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 17% | 21% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
Form: Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDDWDDWWLDLLWDWL • Mwatate United: LDLLDDWDLLLLLLLWWLDDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mwatate United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 15 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 17 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nzoia Sugar | Mwatate United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 46% | 46% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 21% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mwatate United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mwatate United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mwatate United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | Mwatate United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nzoia Sugar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nzoia Sugar = 0.67 (league 1.26), Mwatate United = 0.36 (league 0.77)
| Mwatate United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 35.6% | 13.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 44.8% · Away win 17.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1