Super League — Kenya
Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.18) 2.83 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 16.9% 55.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 3
7.0%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fortune Sacco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naivas 0 1.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.2% 3.0% 1.7%
1 1.9% 5.3% 7.4% 7.0% 5.0% 2.8%
2 1.5% 4.4% 6.2% 5.8% 4.1% 2.3%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaivasFortune Sacco
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naivas Fortune Sacco
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins50%31%40%38%50%44%
Draws25%31%28%46%8%28%
Loses25%38%32%15%42%28%

Form: Naivas: WWDWLDWDDLLLLLWWLDDDWWLWW • Fortune Sacco: LLDWDWDLWWLWWWDLWWDLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Naivas Fortune Sacco
HATHAT
GF total17623102838
GF avg1.40.50.90.82.31.5
GA total1181951722
GA avg0.90.60.80.41.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaivasFortune Sacco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%60%72%56%
1.524%8%32%28%
2.512%4%20%4%
3.50%4%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaivasFortune Sacco
HATHAT
Clean sheets46108311
Failed to score3811617

Penalties

MetricNaivasFortune Sacco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNaivasFortune Sacco
Wins23
Draws31
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-10-9
Biggest losses2-42-00-13-2
Goals For3239
Goals Against4213

Model comparison

MetricNaivasFortune Sacco
Form60%40%
Att38%62%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Naivas or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naivas = 1.67 (league 1.18), Fortune Sacco = 2.83 (league 0.73)

Fortune Sacco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naivas 0 1.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.2% 3.0% 1.7%
1 1.9% 5.3% 7.4% 7.0% 5.0% 2.8%
2 1.5% 4.4% 6.2% 5.8% 4.1% 2.3%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 55.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1