Super League
— Kenya
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.20)
0.90 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 39.0% | 49.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.5%
0 - 1
27.3%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| MOFA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 30.5% | 27.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | MOFA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 40% | 20% |
| Defense | 20% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
44%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | MOFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 23% | 31% | 27% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Draws | 54% | 46% | 50% | 50% | 31% | 40% |
| Loses | 23% | 23% | 23% | 0% | 31% | 16% |
Form: Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDDWDDWWLDLLWDWLDL • MOFA: WWLDDDLWDWWWDDWDWDWWLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | MOFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 16 | 23 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nzoia Sugar | MOFA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 46% | 64% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 23% | 24% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 4% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | MOFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | MOFA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | MOFA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nzoia Sugar | MOFA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or MOFA and -2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nzoia Sugar = 0.29 (league 1.20), MOFA = 0.90 (league 0.74)
| MOFA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 30.5% | 27.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.7% · Draw 39.0% · Away win 49.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1