Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.19) 0.96 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 34.6% 41.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
19.1%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Al Zawra'a
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naft 0 20.0% 19.1% 9.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.5% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaftAl Zawra'a
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack29%43%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naft Al Zawra'a
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins50%13%29%57%43%50%
Draws17%50%36%29%57%43%
Loses33%38%36%14%0%7%

Form: Naft: WLDWDLDDLWLWLD • Al Zawra'a: DDLWWWWWDDDWWD

League goals

Metric Naft Al Zawra'a
HATHAT
GF total86148917
GF avg1.30.81.01.11.31.2
GA total5813448
GA avg0.81.00.90.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaftAl Zawra'a
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%50%71%43%
1.529%43%43%14%
2.514%0%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaftAl Zawra'a
HATHAT
Clean sheets347448
Failed to score156224

Penalties

MetricNaftAl Zawra'a
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricNaftAl Zawra'a
Wins15
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-22-00-2—
Goals For3323
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricNaftAl Zawra'a
Form44%56%
Att40%60%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total38.0%62.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Zawra'a and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naft = 0.65 (league 1.19), Al Zawra'a = 0.96 (league 1.09)

Al Zawra'a
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naft 0 20.0% 19.1% 9.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.5% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 41.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1