Coppa Italia — Italy
Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 20:00 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.51) 3.97 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.4% 9.4% 61.9%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.9%
1 - 4
6.9%
1 - 5
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 0.5% 2.0% 4.0% 5.2% 5.2% 4.1%
1 0.7% 2.6% 5.2% 6.9% 6.9% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.5% 4.6% 4.6% 3.6%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliComo
Played13
Form100%100%
Attack13%56%
Defense94%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 29 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Como
HATHAT
Played101213
Wins100%—100%100%100%100%
Draws0%—0%0%0%0%
Loses0%—0%0%0%0%

Form: Napoli: W • Como: WWW

League goals

Metric Napoli Como
HATHAT
GF total202639
GF avg2.00.02.03.03.03.0
GA total101112
GA avg1.00.01.00.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliComo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%67%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliComo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNapoliComo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNapoliComo
Wins13
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-01-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2033
Goals Against1011

Model comparison

MetricNapoliComo
Form25%75%
Att18%82%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Como and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.97 @ 188Bet
Draw3.12 @ 1xBet
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 1.32 (league 1.51), Como = 3.97 (league 0.76)

Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 0.5% 2.0% 4.0% 5.2% 5.2% 4.1%
1 0.7% 2.6% 5.2% 6.9% 6.9% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.5% 4.6% 4.6% 3.6%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.4% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 61.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1