Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 20:00 • Campo Cha das Padeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.25) 1.02 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.7% 31.0% 36.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 13.8% 14.1% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.3% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack31%25%
Defense63%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União Santarém Mafra
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins30%36%33%70%27%48%
Draws40%27%33%30%45%38%
Loses30%36%33%0%27%14%

Form: União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDWWDDWWLL • Mafra: DLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDDWWLD

League goals

Metric União Santarém Mafra
HATHAT
GF total81018161430
GF avg0.80.90.91.61.31.4
GA total8111951621
GA avg0.81.00.90.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião SantarémMafra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%67%86%67%
1.524%14%38%19%
2.50%10%14%10%
3.50%0%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
HATHAT
Clean sheets347617
Failed to score358123

Penalties

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
Wins24
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-21-2
Biggest losses1-23-04-1
Goals For2243
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
Form47%53%
Att56%44%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h13%88%
Goals25%75%
Total36.8%63.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mafra and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.04 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 0.96 (league 1.25), Mafra = 1.02 (league 1.01)

Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 13.8% 14.1% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.3% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 36.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1