Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.24) 0.63 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 32.4% 21.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 0
17.8%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 17.8% 11.2% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarzimAmarante
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack41%35%
Defense76%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varzim Amarante
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%33%39%44%44%44%
Draws44%33%39%33%22%28%
Loses11%33%22%22%33%28%

Form: Varzim: WWLDDDLDWDDWDLLWWW • Amarante: LWDLDLLWWDLWWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Varzim Amarante
HATHAT
GF total15112612719
GF avg1.71.21.41.30.81.1
GA total7101710717
GA avg0.81.10.91.10.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarzimAmarante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%61%56%
1.544%17%28%33%
2.522%6%17%6%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarzimAmarante
HATHAT
Clean sheets325358
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricVarzimAmarante
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricVarzimAmarante
Wins25
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-20-2
Biggest losses0-12-11-23-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricVarzimAmarante
Form45%55%
Att54%46%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Varzim or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away4.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Varzim = 1.10 (league 1.24), Amarante = 0.63 (league 1.01)

Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 17.8% 11.2% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 21.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1