Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 15:00 •
Amarante Stadium
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.22)
1.49 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 23.3% | 33.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mafra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Amarante | 0 | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Amarante | Mafra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 36% | 73% |
| Defense | 73% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Amarante | Mafra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 40% | 42% | 70% | 33% | 53% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 44% | 37% |
| Loses | 22% | 40% | 32% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
AmaranteLWDLDLLWWDLWWWWWDDL
MafraDLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Amarante | Mafra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Amarante | Mafra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 58% | 89% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 37% | 42% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 5% | 16% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Amarante | Mafra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Amarante | Mafra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Amarante | Mafra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Amarante | Mafra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…