Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 • Amarante Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.25) 1.08 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 31.3% 41.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 14.8% 16.0% 8.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.3% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmaranteTrofense
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack31%19%
Defense75%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amarante Trofense
HATHAT
Played101121111122
Wins50%45%48%27%36%32%
Draws30%18%24%27%55%41%
Loses20%36%29%45%9%27%

Form: Amarante: LWDLDLLWWDLWWWWWDDLWW • Trofense: DWDWWLWDLDDDWWLWLDDLLD

League goals

Metric Amarante Trofense
HATHAT
GF total131023131225
GF avg1.30.91.11.21.11.1
GA total10102011920
GA avg1.00.91.01.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmaranteTrofense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%57%64%73%
1.529%33%27%18%
2.514%5%9%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmaranteTrofense
HATHAT
Clean sheets459246
Failed to score257448

Penalties

MetricAmaranteTrofense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAmaranteTrofense
Wins52
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-25-12-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-22-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAmaranteTrofense
Form73%27%
Att63%38%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.5%43.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Amarante or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away3.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amarante = 0.83 (league 1.25), Trofense = 1.08 (league 1.01)

Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 14.8% 16.0% 8.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.3% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 41.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1