Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.25) 0.86 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 27.8% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Varzim
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Os Belenenses 0 10.9% 9.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCF Os BelenensesVarzim
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack57%29%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CF Os Belenenses Varzim
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins58%64%61%50%27%39%
Draws17%18%17%33%27%30%
Loses25%18%22%17%45%30%

Form: CF Os Belenenses: DWWLWLWWLWWWDWWWWLDDWLW • Varzim: WWLDDDLDWDDWDLLWWWWLWLL

League goals

Metric CF Os Belenenses Varzim
HATHAT
GF total161935191130
GF avg1.31.71.51.61.01.3
GA total11112291423
GA avg0.91.01.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCF Os BelenensesVarzim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%57%65%74%
1.543%30%43%17%
2.517%4%17%9%
3.54%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCF Os BelenensesVarzim
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510426
Failed to score303358

Penalties

MetricCF Os BelenensesVarzim
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricCF Os BelenensesVarzim
Wins44
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-10-13-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricCF Os BelenensesVarzim
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : CF Os Belenenses or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CF Os Belenenses = 1.36 (league 1.25), Varzim = 0.86 (league 1.04)

Varzim
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Os Belenenses 0 10.9% 9.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 23.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1