Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:00 • Campo Cha das Padeiras
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.24) 0.80 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.0% 37.3% 35.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.4%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 23.4% 18.7% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 12.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião SantarémAmarante
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack86%86%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União Santarém Amarante
HATHAT
Played121123111122
Wins33%36%35%55%45%50%
Draws33%27%30%27%18%23%
Loses33%36%35%18%36%27%

Form: União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDWWDDWWLLWL • Amarante: LWDLDLLWWDLWWWWWDDLWWW

League goals

Metric União Santarém Amarante
HATHAT
GF total111021141024
GF avg0.90.90.91.30.91.1
GA total111122101020
GA avg0.91.01.00.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião SantarémAmarante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%70%68%55%
1.526%17%27%32%
2.54%9%14%5%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião SantarémAmarante
HATHAT
Clean sheets3475510
Failed to score459257

Penalties

MetricUnião SantarémAmarante
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricUnião SantarémAmarante
Wins25
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-23-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricUnião SantarémAmarante
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total41.5%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Amarante

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 0.65 (league 1.24), Amarante = 0.80 (league 1.01)

Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 23.4% 18.7% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 12.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 35.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1