Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:00 • Academia Vitoria SC
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.24) 1.08 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 30.8% 39.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes B 0 13.7% 14.9% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.4% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack100%29%
Defense43%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes B Trofense
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins45%50%48%27%33%30%
Draws18%33%26%27%50%39%
Loses36%17%26%45%17%30%

Form: Guimaraes B: DLWDDLDLWWWWDLWLWWLDWWW • Trofense: DWDWWLWDLDDDWWLWLDDLLDL

League goals

Metric Guimaraes B Trofense
HATHAT
GF total151328131225
GF avg1.41.11.21.21.01.1
GA total12820111021
GA avg1.10.70.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraes BTrofense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%52%61%74%
1.535%26%26%17%
2.59%9%9%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511246
Failed to score145459

Penalties

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
Wins42
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-12-4
Biggest losses1-31-01-22-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
Form83%17%
Att80%20%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Guimaraes B or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ Pinnacle
Away3.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes B = 0.90 (league 1.24), Trofense = 1.08 (league 1.01)

Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes B 0 13.7% 14.9% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.4% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 39.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1