Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Municipal de Mafra
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.25) 0.98 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 29.0% 29.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 11.3% 11.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMafraCF Os Belenenses
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack20%73%
Defense40%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mafra CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins64%23%42%62%64%63%
Draws27%38%33%15%18%17%
Loses9%38%25%23%18%21%

Form: Mafra: DLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDDWWLDLLL • CF Os Belenenses: DWWLWLWWLWWWDWWWWLDDWLWW

League goals

Metric Mafra CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
GF total171532191938
GF avg1.51.21.31.51.71.6
GA total72128131124
GA avg0.61.61.21.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMafraCF Os Belenenses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%71%88%58%
1.533%29%46%33%
2.513%13%21%4%
3.54%4%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMafraCF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Clean sheets6175510
Failed to score134303

Penalties

MetricMafraCF Os Belenenses
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMafraCF Os Belenenses
Wins44
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-23-00-4
Biggest losses1-24-10-24-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricMafraCF Os Belenenses
Form9%91%
Att21%79%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h33%67%
Goals44%56%
Total34.7%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CF Os Belenenses

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mafra = 1.20 (league 1.25), CF Os Belenenses = 0.98 (league 1.04)

CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 11.3% 11.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 29.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1