Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 17:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.23) 1.43 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.1% 25.8% 40.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 6.8% 9.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.2% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrofenseAcademica
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack33%75%
Defense42%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trofense Academica
HATHAT
Played111324121123
Wins27%38%33%67%27%48%
Draws27%46%38%25%36%30%
Loses45%15%29%8%36%22%

Form: Trofense: DWDWWLWDLDDDWWLWLDDLLDLW • Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDDDWWDWLWLWWW

League goals

Metric Trofense Academica
HATHAT
GF total131427221638
GF avg1.21.11.11.81.51.7
GA total11112281422
GA avg1.00.80.90.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrofenseAcademica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%83%65%
1.529%17%48%17%
2.58%0%26%13%
3.58%0%9%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrofenseAcademica
HATHAT
Clean sheets246628
Failed to score459224

Penalties

MetricTrofenseAcademica
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricTrofenseAcademica
Wins22
Draws36
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-44-11-4
Biggest losses1-22-00-13-2
Goals For5444
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricTrofenseAcademica
Form25%75%
Att31%69%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Academica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.18 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trofense = 1.26 (league 1.23), Academica = 1.43 (league 1.05)

Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 6.8% 9.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.2% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 40.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1