Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.23) 0.69 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 29.0% 19.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 13.8% 9.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.2% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarzimUnião Santarém
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack27%33%
Defense47%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varzim União Santarém
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins50%25%38%31%36%33%
Draws33%25%29%31%27%29%
Loses17%50%33%38%36%38%

Form: Varzim: WWLDDDLDWDDWDLLWWWWLWLLL • União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDWWDDWWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Varzim União Santarém
HATHAT
GF total191332121022
GF avg1.61.11.30.90.90.9
GA total91726131124
GA avg0.81.41.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarzimUnião Santarém
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%63%71%
1.546%21%25%21%
2.517%13%4%8%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarzimUnião Santarém
HATHAT
Clean sheets426347
Failed to score358459

Penalties

MetricVarzimUnião Santarém
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricVarzimUnião Santarém
Wins42
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-23-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricVarzimUnião Santarém
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Varzim or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ 188Bet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away4.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Varzim = 1.30 (league 1.23), União Santarém = 0.69 (league 1.05)

União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 13.8% 9.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.2% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 19.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1