Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.23)
0.69 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 29.0% | 19.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| União Santarém | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varzim | 0 | 13.7% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Varzim | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 27% | 33% |
| Defense | 47% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Varzim | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 31% | 36% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 31% | 27% | 29% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 33% | 38% | 36% | 38% |
Form: Varzim: WWLDDDLDWDDWDLLWWWWLWLLL • União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDWWDDWWLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Varzim | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Varzim | União Santarém | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 63% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 21% | 25% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 13% | 4% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Varzim | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Varzim | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Varzim | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Varzim | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Varzim or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.87 @ 188Bet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away4.56 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Varzim
vs
União Santarém
Expected goals
1.30
Varzim xG
League Avg: 1.23
Total
1.99
0.69
União Santarém xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.1%
Draw
29.0%
Away
19.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
17.8%
Tip
0 - 0
13.7%
Tip
1 - 1
12.2%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Varzim = 1.30 (league 1.23), União Santarém = 0.69 (league 1.05)
| União Santarém | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varzim | 0 | 13.7% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 19.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1