Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 10:00 • Estadio Municipal de Mafra
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.23) 0.69 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.7% 30.2% 20.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 14.9% 10.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMafraUnião Santarém
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack27%33%
Defense20%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mafra União Santarém
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%23%40%31%33%32%
Draws25%38%32%31%25%28%
Loses17%38%28%38%42%40%

Form: Mafra: DLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDDWWLDLLLL • União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDWWDDWWLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Mafra União Santarém
HATHAT
GF total181533121022
GF avg1.51.21.30.90.80.9
GA total112132131225
GA avg0.91.61.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMafraUnião Santarém
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%72%60%72%
1.532%32%24%20%
2.512%16%4%8%
3.54%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMafraUnião Santarém
HATHAT
Clean sheets617347
Failed to score1344610

Penalties

MetricMafraUnião Santarém
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMafraUnião Santarém
Wins42
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-44-10-23-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricMafraUnião Santarém
Form25%75%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h64%36%
Goals50%50%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : Mafra or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mafra = 1.22 (league 1.23), União Santarém = 0.69 (league 1.05)

União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 14.9% 10.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.7% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 20.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1