Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 10:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Mafra
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.22)
0.70 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.7% | 30.0% | 21.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| União Santarém | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mafra | 0 | 14.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mafra | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 27% | 33% |
| Defense | 20% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mafra | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 58% | 23% | 40% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 25% | 38% | 32% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 17% | 38% | 28% | 38% | 42% | 40% |
MafraDLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDDWWLDLLLL
União SantarémWLDLLDWLWLDDDWWDDWWLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Mafra | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 15 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 21 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mafra | União Santarém | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 72% | 60% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 32% | 24% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 16% | 4% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mafra | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mafra | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mafra | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mafra | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.01 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings
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