Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.23) 0.81 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.7% 21.0% 14.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 6.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.3% 10.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarzimMafra
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack38%63%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varzim Mafra
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%23%38%62%23%42%
Draws31%23%27%23%38%31%
Loses15%54%35%15%38%27%
VarzimWWLDDDLDWDDWDLLWWWWLWLLLWL
MafraDLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDDWWLDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Varzim Mafra
HATHAT
GF total201333201535
GF avg1.51.01.31.51.21.3
GA total91827122133
GA avg0.71.41.00.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarzimMafra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%73%85%73%
1.542%19%35%31%
2.515%12%12%15%
3.54%0%4%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarzimMafra
HATHAT
Clean sheets527617
Failed to score369134

Penalties

MetricVarzimMafra
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricVarzimMafra
Wins44
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-21-2
Biggest losses0-13-01-44-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricVarzimMafra
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total54.5%45.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings

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