Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 11:00 •
Municipal de Marco de Canaveses
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.23)
1.76 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.0% | 23.4% | 54.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Paredes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Marco 09 | 0 | 6.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 45% | 100% |
| Defense | 18% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 44% | 33% | 39% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Loses | 22% | 56% | 39% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
AD Marco 09DDDWDDLDLLWDLWLLWL
ParedesLDDDDDWLDWLDDWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AD Marco 09 | Paredes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 67% | 61% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 39% | 44% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 30.3% | 69.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away2.34 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.70 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.36 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…